Uk news Risk of 40C days in UK 'could rise significantly by century's end' London news

MetiNews.Com - Chances of extremely high temperatures in the UK could increase significantly by the end of the century, new research has found.  Met Office Hadley Centre researchers have investigated whether exceeding 40C is within the possibilities of Britain's climate.  It comes after the highest temperature ever recorded in the UK hit 38.7C in Cambridge in July last year.

Uk news Risk of 40C days in UK 'could rise significantly by century's end' London news

MetiNews.Com - Chances of extremely high temperatures in the UK could increase significantly by the end of the century, new research has found.  Met Office Hadley Centre researchers have investigated whether exceeding 40C is within the possibilities of Britain's climate.  It comes after the highest temperature ever recorded in the UK hit 38.7C in Cambridge in July last year.

Uk news  Risk of 40C days in UK 'could rise significantly by century's end' London news
30 June 2020 - 17:48

Breaking News ! ES News email The latest headlines in your inbox twice a day Monday - Friday plus breaking news updates Enter your email address Continue Please enter an email address Email address is invalid Fill out this field Email address is invalid You already have an account. Please log in. Register with your social account or click here to log in I would like to receive lunchtime headlines Monday - Friday plus breaking news alerts, by email Update newsletter preferences Chances of extremely high temperatures in the UK could increase significantly by the end of the century, new research has found. Met Office Hadley Centre researchers have investigated whether exceeding 40C is within the possibilities of Britain's climate. It comes after the highest temperature ever recorded in the UK hit 38.7C in Cambridge in July last year. Their study, published in the journal Nature Communications, suggests that the current chance of seeing days above 40C is extremely low. However, by 2100 the UK could see 40C days every 3-4 years under a high emissions scenario, their research showed. The return time for the 40C threshold is reduced to around 15 years by 2100 under a medium-emissions scenario (REUTERS) Co-author of the research and head of the Met Office National Climate Information Centre Dr Mark McCarthy, warned that "urgent action" to reduce emissions now could help stop extreme high temperatures hitting the UK in the future. If emissions are reduced in line with the Paris climate agreement, the future probabilities are expected to be considerably lower, the scientists said. The return time for the 40C threshold is reduced to around 15 years by 2100 under a medium-emissions scenario, they added. Lead author Dr Nikolaos Christidis, said “We found that the likelihood of extremely hot days in the UK has been increasing and will continue to do so during the course of the century, with the most extreme temperatures expected to be observed in the south east of England.

. "The chances of seeing 40C days in the UK could be as much as 10 times more likely in the current climate than under a natural climate unaffected by human influence. "The likelihood of exceeding 40C anywhere in the UK in a given year has also been rapidly increasing, and, without curbing of greenhouse gas emissions, such extremes could be taking place every few years in the climate of 2100.” The study took advantage of the new high-resolution HadUK-Grid dataset to make more precise local predictions of future hot spells. UK Heatwave: Hottest day of 2020 so far as mercury hits 31C 36 show all UK Heatwave: Hottest day of 2020 so far as mercury hits 31C 1/36 A man jumps in the water on the beach in Brighton Reuters 2/36 People enjoy the sunny weather in Scarborough PA 3/36 People enjoy the hot weather at the beach in Bournemouth Reuters 4/36 Visitors enjoy the hot weather in Weymouth Getty Images 5/36 People enjoy a sunny day in Greenwich Park in London, Reuters 6/36 Visitors enjoy the hot weather in Weymouth Getty Images 7/36 People cool off in the River Cam at Grantchester near Cambridge PA 8/36 Blackpool Reuters 9/36 A woman sunbathes during a hot weather in Greenwich Park in London, Reuters 10/36 Visitors enjoy the hot weather in Weymouth Getty Images 11/36 People sunbathe in front of beach huts in Brighton, Reuters 12/36 Visitors enjoy the hot weather in Weymouth Getty Images 13/36 People enjoy the hot weather at the beach in Bournemouth Reuters 14/36 Tandem bike riders cycle along the seafront in Weymouth Getty Images 15/36 Blackpool, REUTERS 16/36 Brighton Reuters 17/36 A dog plays in the sea with its owner at South Gare near Redcar Getty Images 18/36 A gardener in Regent’s Park gives the plants and flowers an early morning drink Matt Writtle 19/36 A man jumps in the water at Brighton Reuters 20/36 Givences cools off today in Trafalgar Square Jeremy Selwyn 21/36 People enjoy warm weather in Brighton Reuters 22/36 A group of friends enjoy the hot weather by Three Shires Head on the River Dane, where Cheshire, PA 23/36 Elley from Bexley Heath indulges in some early morning sunbathing in Primrose Hill Matt Writtle 24/36 People enjoy the sunny weather in Scarborough PA 25/36 People kayak along the River Cam in Cambridge PA 26/36 Primrose Hill Matt Writtle 27/36 Runners near Lambeth Bridge Nigel Howard 28/36 Vapour trails over London Matt Writtle 29/36 Hot weather in London Nigel Howard 30/36 A couple of dawn risers meditate as the sunrises over Primrose Hill Matt Writtle 31/36 Hot weather in London Nigel Howard 32/36 Julie cools down in Hyde Park Jeremy Selwyn 33/36 Hyde Park Jeremy Selwyn 34/36 People kayak along the River Cam in Cambridge PA 35/36 Sunshine by the thames Jeremy Selwyn 36/36 People enjoy the sunny weather in Scarborough PA 1/36 A man jumps in the water on the beach in Brighton Reuters 2/36 People enjoy the sunny weather in Scarborough PA 3/36 People enjoy the hot weather at the beach in Bournemouth Reuters 4/36 Visitors enjoy the hot weather in Weymouth Getty Images 5/36 People enjoy a sunny day in Greenwich Park in London, Reuters 6/36 Visitors enjoy the hot weather in Weymouth Getty Images 7/36 People cool off in the River Cam at Grantchester near Cambridge PA 8/36 Blackpool Reuters 9/36 A woman sunbathes during a hot weather in Greenwich Park in London, Reuters 10/36 Visitors enjoy the hot weather in Weymouth Getty Images 11/36 People sunbathe in front of beach huts in Brighton, Reuters 12/36 Visitors enjoy the hot weather in Weymouth Getty Images 13/36 People enjoy the hot weather at the beach in Bournemouth Reuters 14/36 Tandem bike riders cycle along the seafront in Weymouth Getty Images 15/36 Blackpool, REUTERS 16/36 Brighton Reuters 17/36 A dog plays in the sea with its owner at South Gare near Redcar Getty Images 18/36 A gardener in Regent’s Park gives the plants and flowers an early morning drink Matt Writtle 19/36 A man jumps in the water at Brighton Reuters 20/36 Givences cools off today in Trafalgar Square Jeremy Selwyn 21/36 People enjoy warm weather in Brighton Reuters 22/36 A group of friends enjoy the hot weather by Three Shires Head on the River Dane, where Cheshire, PA 23/36 Elley from Bexley Heath indulges in some early morning sunbathing in Primrose Hill Matt Writtle 24/36 People enjoy the sunny weather in Scarborough PA 25/36 People kayak along the River Cam in Cambridge PA 26/36 Primrose Hill Matt Writtle 27/36 Runners near Lambeth Bridge Nigel Howard 28/36 Vapour trails over London Matt Writtle 29/36 Hot weather in London Nigel Howard 30/36 A couple of dawn risers meditate as the sunrises over Primrose Hill Matt Writtle 31/36 Hot weather in London Nigel Howard 32/36 Julie cools down in Hyde Park Jeremy Selwyn 33/36 Hyde Park Jeremy Selwyn 34/36 People kayak along the River Cam in Cambridge PA 35/36 Sunshine by the thames Jeremy Selwyn 36/36 People enjoy the sunny weather in Scarborough PA Summers with daily maximum temperatures exceeding 35C currently happen once every five years on average, but could happen almost every other year by 2100 under a high emissions scenario. Dr McCarthy also said: “This research shows human-caused climate change has set us on a course to see temperature extremes in the UK that would be highly unlikely under a ‘natural’ climate, although urgent action to reduce emissions now can significantly reduce the occurrence of extreme high temperatures in the UK in the future. “Analysis shows that in some parts of the south east between 1960 and 2019 the hottest days of the year have already increased by 1C each decade, showing the UK is already on a warming trend when it comes to heat extremes.” Read more Nightingale hospitals to be converted into cancer testing centres PM unveils post-lockdown plan as death toll rises by 155- LATEST Police to probe NHS hospital trust over 'maternity scandal' Double amputee, 5, raises £1m for NHS hospital in walking challenge The chances of 40C days are focused around the south east of the UK, with temperatures above 35C becoming increasingly common in this region too. However, the study also found that by 2100 many areas in the north for which 30C is currently extremely rare or unlikely may exceed 30C at least once per decade. The findings from this research are important to help plan for future extremes, informing effective adaptation and mitigation strategies to limit impacts on UK society. The outcomes are consistent with the headline findings from the UKCP18 climate projections, which show a greater chance of hotter, drier summers in the UK and that under certain emissions pathways exceedances of 40C in the UK may become common by the end of the century.

Source = MetiNews.Com

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Uk news Risk of 40C days in UK 'could rise significantly by century's end' London news


Uk news Risk of 40C days in UK 'could rise significantly by century's end' London news


Uk news Risk of 40C days in UK 'could rise significantly by century's end' London news


Uk news Risk of 40C days in UK 'could rise significantly by century's end' London news

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