North East UK news Map shows the areas predicted to be Covid-19 'hotspots' when lockdown ends MetiNews.Com

MetiNews.Com - Just under 300 local authorities have an 80% or greater chance of being a hotspot on December 2, according to the study

North East UK news Map shows the areas predicted to be Covid-19 'hotspots' when lockdown ends MetiNews.Com

MetiNews.Com - Just under 300 local authorities have an 80% or greater chance of being a hotspot on December 2, according to the study

North East UK news  Map shows the areas predicted to be Covid-19 'hotspots' when lockdown ends MetiNews.Com
22 November 2020 - 16:30

Breaking News ! Most UK council areas are predicted to be coronavirus hotspots when England lifts its national lockdown on December 2 Local authorities including Hull, Swale, Hartlepool, East Lindsey, Dudley and Stoke-on-Trent could be plunged into the highest local lockdown tier as they are projected to have some of the highest infection rates. This map, created by Covid-19 researchers, projects red zones across almost all of England and swathes of Scotland, Wales and Northern Ireland on that date. Imperial College London's research and interactive map suggest infection rates will remain alarmingly high in parts of all four nations, the Mirror reports. View the full interactive map here. Just under 300 local authorities have an 80% or greater chance of being a coronavirus hotspot on December 2, according to the study. Hull, Swale, Hartlepool, East Lindsey, Dudley and Stoke are at the top of the table, based on their current Covid-19 infection rates, which are the highest in England. They are followed by Kirklees, Oadby and Wigston, Bradford, Rochdale, Leicester and Thanet. England will enter a tougher three-tiered system of local coronavirus restrictions when the national lockdown ends on December 2, Downing Street has said. Boris Johnson is expected to detail his plan for winter to MPs on Monday as he sets out how people can see their loved ones at Christmas. The "Covid winter plan" is expected to place more areas into the higher tiers to keep the virus under control to ensure further restrictions are not needed, No 10 said. Researchers from Imperial College London define a hotspot as a local authority where there are more than 50 cases of Covid-19 per 100,000 of the population per week. Areas with the lowest probability of becoming a hotspot in a fortnight include West Suffolk, Lancaster, Tendring and Colchester in England; Cardiff, Gwynedd and Conwy in Wales; Highland, Dumfries and Galloway, and Aryll and Bute in Scotland; and Lisburn and Castlereagh, and Newry, Mourne and Down inNorthern Ireland. About 60 local authorities have weekly infection rates higher than 400 cases per 100,000 people in the seven days to November 13, according to a study by the PA news agency. About 35 more are have rates between 300 and 400. Hull has the highest infection rate in England - 760.6 in the week up to November 13, up from 731.8 in the previous seven days). It is followed by Hartlepool (596.8), Swale (589.7), Blackburn with Darwen (575.2), Oldham (568.5),. Dudley (565.9), Stoke-on-Trent (557.8), East Lindsey (554.6), Kirklees (553.4) and North East Lincolnshire (537.7) round out the top ten. Areas recording the biggest week-on-week jumps include Boston (up from 233.7 to 470.3, with 330 new cases); Thanet (up from 290.3 to 520.

.9 to 554.6, with 786 new cases). Imperial College London created its map, which is updated daily, before the second wave began. Read More Related Articles 'Christmas is not going to be normal', Rishi Sunak warns as England prepares to move out of lockdown Read More Related Articles What the new tier system of Covid restrictions could look like over winter The purpose was to reveal areas of concern and encourage local authorities to act before it was too late. The map uses figures on daily and weekly reported deaths and mathematical modelling to calculate the probability that a local authority will become a hotspot. It also gives estimates on whether cases are likely to increase or decrease, and the probability of the R number being greater than one. If R is higher than one it indicates an outbreak is out of control and cases will continue to increase. The predictions assume no change in current interventions, such as lockdowns or school closures, beyond those already taken about a week before the end of observations. An increase in cases in a local authority can be due to a rise in testing, which the model does not account for, the researchers said. It also does not take demographic factors into consideration. Latest coronavirus rates for the North East Here is the latest rolling seven-day rate of new cases of Covid-19 for every local authority area in the North East. The figures, for the seven days to November 16, are based on tests carried out in laboratories (pillar one of the Government's testing programme) and in the wider community (pillar two). The rate is expressed as the number of new cases per 100,000 people. Read More Related Articles People with two negative Covid tests in a week could be given 'freedom pass' Data for the most recent four days (November 17-20) has been excluded as it is incomplete and does not reflect the true number of cases. Here is the list in full. From left to right, it reads: name of local authority; rate of new cases in the seven days to November 16; number (in brackets) of new cases recorded in the seven days to November 16; rate of new cases in the seven days to November 9; number (in brackets) of new cases recorded in the seven days to November 9. Newcastle upon Tyne 417.1 (1263), 423.0 (1281) North Tyneside 391.0 (813), 360.7 (750) Sunderland 383.5 (1065), 417.7 (1160) South Tyneside 382.8 (578), 396.8 (599) County Durham 367.5 (1948), 382.2 (2026) Gateshead 354.4 (716), 473.1 (956) Northumberland 282.5 (911), 273.2 (881)

Source = MetiNews.Com

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North East UK news Map shows the areas predicted to be Covid-19 'hotspots' when lockdown ends MetiNews.Com


North East UK news Map shows the areas predicted to be Covid-19 'hotspots' when lockdown ends MetiNews.Com


North East UK news Map shows the areas predicted to be Covid-19 'hotspots' when lockdown ends MetiNews.Com


North East UK news Map shows the areas predicted to be Covid-19 'hotspots' when lockdown ends MetiNews.Com

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