Berkshire news Major mess up on Leeds, Stoke & Forest: How FM predicted Championship MetiNews.Com
MetiNews.Com - Football Manager mapped out a 2019/20 Championship season that was some way off reality
Breaking News ! They say the Championship is impossible to predict. Here's further proof that statement is 100 percent correct! Last August, before a ball was kicked in anger and all managers were still full of optimism, Nathan Bliss loaded up Football Manager and tried to see what its algorithms panned out for the Championship's 24 teams over the next few months. It was not spot on. Far from it. Football Manager did not see Leeds romping to the title, finishing ten points clear of automatic promotion rivals West Brom. Find out how you can get the latest news from BerkshireLive delivered straight to your inbox In fact, FM had Marcelo Bielsa's men finishing way down in 16th, despite them missing out on promotion in the play-offs the previous season. Nottingham Forest were crowned champions in the virtual world. In the real world they were unable to hold on to a play-off place, agonisingly slipping out of the top six on the final day of fixtures. Bristol City were predicted as runners-up, but didn't even make the play-offs and sacked manager Lee Johnson in the final weeks of an underwhelming campaign which saw them finish 12th. FM had Stoke down as play-off contenders, yet they were more occupied with the bottom six than the top six. There were some successes in the simulation, set up by inputting all the latest transfers and manager changes across the division to make it as 'realistic as possible'. Read More Related Articles Brian Tevreden gives damning assessment of former Reading FC chief exec Ron Gourlay Read More Related Articles The Championship table post lockdown - how Reading FC compare with Middlesbrough, Nottingham Forest and Sheffield Wednesday Brentford's third-place finish was bang on - with FM nearly getting the points tally correct as well(!) - and seasons of struggle were accurately predicted for Luton, Huddersfield and Wigan. Here's a breakdown of the predictions and what really happened. Who did Football Manager tip for promotion and relegation? FM had Leeds down in 16th and failed to forecast the resurgence of Slaven Bilic's West Brom, who actually led the table for a number of weeks before finishing second, as Forest and Bristol City went up automatically. Derby, Hull and Barnsley were in the bottom three – two out of three isn’t bad – but there were no shady takeovers or points deductions for entering administration. Read More Related Articles Leeds United make late swoop to sign ex Reading FC striker Danny Loader Read More Related Articles What Tottenham Hotspur teenager Oliver Skipp could bring to Reading FC In real life, Wigan slipped below Barnsley courtesy of their crushing 12-point deduction and were joined through the trapdoor by Charlton Athletic. Stoke made the play-offs and were actually promoted after seeing off Brentford and Swansea, who oddly enough played each other in the first of the two play-off semi-finals. Who did Football Manager tip as the Championship’s assist king? Fulham’s Tom Cairney was tipped to get 21 assists, followed by Charlton duo Jake Forster-Caskey (14) and Sam Field (14). In reality, West Brom’s brilliant Brazilian Matheus Pereira topped the charts with 16, followed by Millwall’s Jed Wallace (13) and Bristol City’s Niclas Eliasson (12).
. Only West Brom and Nottingham Forest were to score more. How wrong they were. Scoring was so often Stoke's Achilles heel, while it was Thomas Frank's Bees who topped the scoring chart.
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FM prediction: Nottingham Forest, West Brom 78, Stoke 76, Fulham 74, Brentford, Bristol City 72 Real life: Brentford 80, Leeds, West Brom 77, Cardiff 68, QPR 67. Stoke (joint eighth) 62 Goals conceded Having held on to a number of the players that had come down from the Premier League, FM backed Cardiff to boast the meanest defence in the division, followed by Brentford and Stoke. Leeds, under the guidance of Bielsa, actually proved the hardest team to break down. To be fair, FM were there or thereabouts with Brentford.
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FM prediction: Cardiff 45, Brentford, Stoke 49, Blackburn, Bristol City 50. Real life: Leeds 35, Brentford 38, West Brom 45, Fulham 48, Nottingham Forest 50. Stoke (18th) 68 Playing style: who dominated possession? FM reckoned Stoke would have more of the ball than all-but two of the rest of the Championship. Fulham topped the possession charts with an average of 54 per cent, followed by Blackburn (53) and Stoke and Birmingham (both 52). What actually happened was that Leeds, instructed to hunt the ball down in packs by Bielsa, had an average possession of 59.6 per cent (compared to 51 on FM). Fulham (58.3) and Brentford (55.8) were next in the actual table of ball-hoggers with Stoke’s average possession was 47.5 per cent.
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